Եվրոպայի 2026/27 թվականների վերամշակված կարտոֆիլի մատակարարումը կտրուկ կկրճատվի կրճատվող հողատարածքների և երաշտի պատճառով
Հիմնական ճարպերը
- 40 mln tonnes: the harvest could fall below it, a first
- 15 mln tonnes less than last year is the projected gap
- 150 euro per tonne, up from 10 in late July for Fontane
- 45.1% rise in EU shipments to South America in June
Ինչու է դա կարեւոր
- Ֆերմերների համար
- If you are holding back harvest for rain, note the market has been flat at 150 euro a tonne since early August - the price already carries the shortfall. Weigh the tuber size you might gain against the quality risk of a late lift.
- Պրոցեսորների համար
- Contract early and across origins: a harvest 15 million tonnes short is not a regional dip you can source around inside Europe, and export demand is pulling the same tonnage outward at the same time.
- Առևտրականների համար
- The pull is south and east - South America up 45.1 percent, Middle East 23, Africa 26.8 - while Asia is down 23 percent on tougher regional competition. Route capacity to the first three rather than defending Asian volume.
- Մատակարարների համար
- Acreage was cut on purpose across five countries before the drought hit. Plan input and service volumes against the reduced area, not against the 2025 record, and expect farm spending to follow a tight-supply year with caution.
- Ներդրողների համար
- A fifteenfold price move in under three weeks, from 10 to 150 euro a tonne, is a shortage repricing rather than a trend. The harvest figure is a projection; treat the acreage cut as the confirmed part.
60 վայրկյան տևողությամբ ամփոփում
Europe’s industrial potato sector is heading into a 2026/27 deficit. World Potato Markets puts the 2026 harvest below 40 million tonnes for the first time - roughly 15 million tonnes under last year. The cause is in two parts. Growers in Germany, France, the Netherlands, Belgium and Poland cut acreage deliberately after the 2025/26 oversupply, and then five heatwaves and drought deepened the shortfall. It lands as processed exports rise: EU shipments to South America were up 45.1 percent year on year in June, to the Middle East 23 percent and to Africa 26.8 percent, while Asia sits 23 percent below the year-earlier level. Prices followed the harvest worry - Expana base quotes for Fontane, EXW Belgium, went from 10 euro a tonne in late July to 150 by early August and were still there on 25 August, with trading slow and some growers holding off in hope of rain.
Europe’s industrial potato sector faces a supply deficit in the 2026/27 season, driven by reduced planting areas, extreme heat and drought across key producing regions. According to World Potato Markets, the 2026 harvest could fall below 40 million tonnes for the first time — roughly 15 million tonnes less than last year. The decline follows an oversupply in 2025/26, which prompted growers to cut acreage in Germany, France, the Netherlands, Belgium and Poland in an effort to rebalance the market. Five recent heatwaves and the subsequent drought are expected to compound the shortfall further. The tightening supply coincides with rising European exports of processed potato products: EU shipments to South America rose 45.1% year-on-year in June, led by Brazil, Colombia and Chile, while deliveries to the Middle East climbed 23% and exports to Africa 26.8%, according to Trade Data Monitor. Asia, however, remains 23% below year-earlier levels over the past 12 months amid stronger competition from regional suppliers. Market sources note that North American trade conditions have also shaped EU export activity, with US tariff policy and trade uncertainty disrupting supply chains and Canadian frozen fry exports potentially facing duties of up to 50% on entry to the US market — a situation reportedly pushing buyers in the Middle East and elsewhere toward European product.
Harvest concerns have also fed through to fresh potato prices. In late July 2026, Expana base prices for Fontane processing potatoes on an EXW Belgium basis jumped from €10 ($12) per tonne to €150 ($176) per tonne by early August. Trading has been slow, with some farmers delaying harvest in the hope of rain. Although precipitation was expected the following week, growers remained uncertain how it would affect yields and tuber size. As of 25 August, prices held at €150 ($176) per tonne while the market waited for clearer signals on harvest availability.
Գլոբալ կարտոֆիլի համառոտ նկարագրություն
Հինգ լավագույն նորություններ, գներ, հիվանդությունների մասին ահազանգեր և միջոցառումներ: Աշխատանքային օրերին առավոտներ, առանց գովազդի:
Ինչ հաջորդ
Rain was expected the week after the late-August quotes, and growers were uncertain how it would affect yields and tuber size. Prices held at 150 euro a tonne on 25 August while the market waited for clearer signals on harvest availability.
Աղբյուրներ
- Harvest forecast: World Potato Markets. Export figures: Trade Data Monitor. Price quotes: Expana base prices, Fontane, EXW Belgium. The sub-40-million-tonne harvest is a projection, not a measured result. The possible 50 percent US duty on Canadian frozen fries and the resulting shift of Middle East buyers toward European product are reported by market sources, not confirmed by either government.
Հղում այս նյութում
- Երկիր
- Եվրոպա
- Ընկերություններ
- World Potato Markets; Trade Data Monitor; Expana
Առնչվող պատմություններ
Անձրևի տակ հավաքված կարտոֆիլ. Ինչպես չորացնել բերքը և պահել այն պահեստում
Սառնամանիք կարտոֆիլի բերքահավաքի ժամանակ. Ինչպես պահել սառեցված պալարները պահեստից դուրս
